May 2011: US
military goes to war with climate skeptics. For years high-level national security officials both inside
the Pentagon and in thinktank land have been acknowledging climate change is
for real and that we need to take action to preserve and enhance US national
security interests. A recent report written by two special
assistants to chairman of the joint chiefs of staff Mike Mullen, argued,
"We must recognise that security means more than defence." Part of
this entails pressing past "a strategy of containment to a strategy of
sustainment (sustainability)". They went on to assert climate change is
"already shaping a 'new normal' in our strategic environment". The Pentagon itself stated
unequivocally in its February 2010 review "Climate change and energy are two key
issues that will play a significant role in shaping the future security
environment." It noted the department of defence is actively "developing
policies and plans to manage the effects of climate change on its operating
environment, missions and facilities". link
____________________________________
PENTAGON
TELLS BUSH: CLIMATE CHANGE WILL DESTROY US Sunday
February 22,
2004 - Mark Townsend
and Paul
Harris in New York - London Observer -
- Threat
to
the world is greater than terrorism . . .
- Secret
report warns of rioting and
nuclear war . . .
- Britain will be
'Siberian' in less than 20 years
Climate
change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe
costing
millions of lives in wars and natural disasters. A secret
report,
suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer, warns
that major
European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged
into a
'Siberian' climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict,
mega-droughts, famine
and widespread rioting will erupt across the world.
The
document predicts that abrupt climate change could bring the
planet to the edge of anarchy as countries develop a nuclear threat to
defend
and secure dwindling food, water and energy supplies. The threat to
global
stability vastly eclipses that of terrorism, say the few experts privy
to its
contents. 'Disruption and conflict will be endemic features of life,'
concludes
the Pentagon analysis. 'Once again, warfare would define human life. The
findings will prove humiliating to the Bush administration,
which has repeatedly denied
that
climate change even exists. Experts said that they will also
make
unsettling reading for a President who has insisted national defence is
a
priority. The report was commissioned by influential Pentagon defence
adviser
Andrew Marshall, who has held considerable sway on US military thinking
over
the past three decades. He was the man behind a
sweeping recent review
aimed at transforming the American military under Defence Secretary
Donald
Rumsfeld.
Climate
change 'should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to
a US national security concern', say the authors, Peter Schwartz, CIA
consultant and former head of planning at Royal Dutch/Shell Group, and
Doug
Randall of the California-based Global Business Network. An
imminent
scenario of catastrophic climate change is 'plausible and would
challenge
United States national security in ways that should be considered
immediately',
they conclude. As early as next year widespread flooding by a rise in
sea
levels will create major upheaval for millions.
Last
week the Bush administration came under heavy fire from a
large body of respected scientists who claimed that it cherry-picked
science to
suit its policy agenda and suppressed studies that it did not like.
Jeremy
Symons, a former whistleblower at the Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA),
said that suppression of the report for four months was a further
example of
the White House trying to bury the threat of climate change.
Senior
climatologists, however, believe that their verdicts
could prove the catalyst in forcing Bush to accept climate change as a
real and
happening phenomenon. They also hope it will convince the United States
to sign
up to global treaties to reduce the rate of climatic change. A group of
eminent
UK scientists recently visited the White House to voice their fears
over global
warming, part of an intensifying drive to get the US to treat the issue
seriously. Sources have told The Observer that American
officials appeared
extremely sensitive about the issue when faced with complaints that
America's
public stance appeared increasingly out of touch.
One
even alleged that the White House had written to complain
about some of the comments attributed to Professor
Sir David King,
Tony Blair's chief scientific adviser, after he branded the President's
position on the issue as indefensible. Among those scientists present
at the
White House talks were Professor John Schellnhuber, former chief
environmental
adviser to the German government and head of the UK's leading
group of
climate scientists at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change
Research. He
said that the Pentagon's internal fears should prove the 'tipping
point' in
persuading Bush to accept climatic change.
Sir
John Houghton, former chief executive of the Meteorological
Office - and the first senior figure to liken the threat of climate
change to
that of terrorism - said: 'If the Pentagon is sending out that sort of
message,
then this is an important document indeed.'
Bob Watson, chief
scientist for the World Bank and former chair of the Intergovernmental
Panel on
Climate Change, added that the Pentagon's dire warnings could no longer
be
ignored.
'Can
Bush ignore the Pentagon? It's going be hard to blow off
this sort of document. It’s hugely embarrassing. After all, Bush's
single
highest priority is national defence. The Pentagon is no wacko, liberal
group, generally
speaking it is conservative. If climate change is a threat to
national
security and the economy, then he has to act. There are two groups the
Bush
Administration tend to listen to, the oil lobby and the Pentagon,'
added
Watson. 'You've got a President
who says global warming is a hoax, and across the Potomac River you've
got a
Pentagon preparing for climate wars. It's pretty scary when Bush starts
to
ignore his own government on this issue,' said Rob Gueterbock of
Greenpeace. |
Already,
according to Randall and Schwartz, the planet is
carrying a higher population than it can sustain. By 2020
'catastrophic'
shortages of water and energy supply will become increasingly harder to
overcome, plunging the planet into war. They warn that 8,200 years ago
climatic
conditions brought widespread crop failure, famine, disease and mass
migration
of populations that could soon be repeated.
Randall told The
Observer that the potential ramifications of rapid climate change would
create
global chaos. 'This is depressing stuff,' he said. 'It is a national
security
threat that is unique because there is no enemy to point your guns at
and we
have no control over the threat.'
Randall added that it
was already possibly too late to prevent a disaster happening. 'We
don't know
exactly where we are in the process. It could start tomorrow and we
would not
know for another five years,' he said.
'The consequences for
some nations of the climate change are unbelievable. It seems obvious
that
cutting the use of fossil fuels would be worthwhile.' So dramatic are
the
report's scenarios, Watson said, that they may prove vital in the US
elections.
Democratic frontrunner John Kerry is known to accept climate change as
a real
problem. Scientists disillusioned with Bush's stance are threatening to
make
sure Kerry uses the Pentagon report in his campaign.
The
fact that Marshall is behind its scathing findings will aid
Kerry's cause. Marshall, 82, is a Pentagon legend who heads a secretive
think-tank dedicated to weighing risks to national security called the
Office
of Net Assessment. Dubbed 'Yoda' by Pentagon insiders who respect his
vast
experience, he is credited with being behind the Department of
Defence's push
on ballistic-missile defence.
Symons, who left the EPA in protest
at political interference,
said that the suppression of the report was a further instance of the
White
House trying to bury evidence of climate change. 'It is yet another
example of
why this government should stop burying its head in the sand on this
issue.'
Symons
said the Bush administration's close links to high-powered energy
and oil companies was vital in understanding why climate change was
received
sceptically in the Oval Office. 'This administration is ignoring the
evidence
in order to placate a handful of large energy and oil companies,' he
added.
CLICK
TO SEE A COPY OF THE PENTAGON REPORT| August 2009: New Pentagon report - Climate-induced crises could topplegovernments,
feed terrorist movements or destabilize entire regions, say the
analysts, experts at the Pentagon and intelligence agencies who for the
first time are taking a serious look at the national security
implications of climate change. The changing global climate will
pose profound strategic challenges to the United States in coming
decades, raising the prospect of military intervention to deal with the
effects of violent storms, drought, mass migration and pandemics. link |
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