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  Natural Gas     

Natural gas is a combustible gaseous fossil fuel. While contributing less CO2 to the atmosphere than other fuels, it is still a serious greenhouse gas. (The average U.S. natural gas plant emits 800 to 850 lbs of CO2 per megawattt.whereas coal plants emit an average 1,768 llbs of CO2 per megawatt.)
Transporting natural gas by tanker can involve similar risks to transporting oil by sea. With its cost receding in recent years, more attention is being paid to its commercial uses. The main products of the combustion of natural gas are CO2 and water vapor.
Shale gas deposits promise vast supplies, but introduces the problem of "fracking"
which has serious critics

New page on Fracking   

 

Natural gas our savior? Not so fast . . .  

(November 2012) Just as happened with ethanol, scientists and engineers are starting to take a more serious look at natural gas, and the story turns out to be more complicated and less ideal than it originally seemed. If you could magically flip a switch and turn all existing coal plants in to gas plants, you would indeed cut CO2 emissions significantly. But there is no magic switch, and therein lies a problem.  According to a recent study, “The most surprising thing we found is that unless you switch to a form of energy that cuts emissions really drastically you basically don’t get any real effect.”The bottom line that emerges from the study is that by the time we could switch from coal to gas, there would already be so much more CO2 and methane in the atmosphere that we’d be much deeper in the hole. Because CO2 stays in the atmosphere for so long once it’s up there, a switch to natural gas would have zero effect on global temperatures by the year 2100. link

         Below.

  • Growth of natural gas supplies
  • Different types of natural gas
  • Safety issues
  • The global scene
  • Flaring                              
Growth of Natural Gas Supplies

According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), there are 1,744 trillion cubic feet of technically recoverable natural gas in the U.S., or enough to supply the country for 90 years at current rates of production. The EPA is conducting a $1.9 million study, expected to be completed by 2012, that will look at the effect on groundwater, surface water, human health and the environment in general (A drillining rig stands over a natural gas well in Colorado/Credit: Colorado Geological Survey)

July 2013: Shale gas now represents 30% of U.S. natural gas supplies, up from 1% a little over a decade ago. The surge in production has pushed gas prices to historic lows, leading utilities increasingly to choose it over coal. Natural gas supplied just under one-third of U.S. electricity last year, up from 16% in 2000, while coal-fired electricity dropped from 50% to about 36% over the same period. Natural gas, which is primarily methane, produces about half the CO2 of coal when combusted. But leakage of methane throughout the production and distribution systems cancels out some of those gains. (To what extent isn't clear.) link

August 2012. Natural gas now equal to coal as energy source. In April 2012, for the first time on record, natural gas equaled coal as a source of electric power generation, according to EIA. Cheap natural gas has been increasingly displacing coal for electricity production during the year and appears to be continuing that trend, according to data from the U. S. Energy Information Administration. At that point, the amount of coal used for power generation had fallen by nearly 25% from a year ago. link

August 2011: Drastic 80% reduction in gas estimates announced. Federal geologists published new estimates this week for the amount of natural gas that exists in a giant rock formation known as the Marcellus Shale, which stretches from New York to Virginia. The shale formation has about 84 trillion cubic feet of undiscovered, technically recoverable natural gas, which is drastically lower than the 410 trillion cubic feet that was published earlier this year by the federal (EIA) Energy Information Administration. The EIA will slash its official estimate for the Marcellus Shale by nearly 80%, a move that is likely to generate new questions about how the agency calculates its estimates and why it was so far off in its projections. link

June 2011: IEA warns natural gas will not prevent global warming. Natural gas is not the "panacea" to solve climate change that fossil fuel industry lobbyists have been claiming, according to new research from the International Energy Agency. Reliance on gas would lead the world to a 3.5C temperature rise, according to the IEA. At such a level, global warming could run out of control, deserts would take over in southern Africa, Australia and the western US, and sea level rises could engulf small island states. link

Optimistic forecasts for Natural Gas supplies in US.
December 2010: The US Energy Information Agency forecasts that natural gas will represent 62% of new capacity by 2035, the greatest chunk coming from shale gas, which has already increased production 14-fold over the last decade. That finding could give a boost to the natural gas industry, which has been fighting a battle over the use of hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, the technique that has helped the industry grow but brings water quality and other environmental concerns. link  
November 2010: Deutsche Bank AG analysts predict natural gas, which creates about half as much carbon dioxide as coal, would comprise 35% of America's electric power generation by 2030, an increase from the current 23%. At the same time, they predict coal's share of the power grid would drop from 47% to 22%, with clean coal accounting for just one percent of the diminished total. The report says the developments would allow the United States to achieve a 44% reduction in CO2 emissions from the electric power sector by 2030, compared to 2005 levels. link

June 2010: An MIT report suggests natural gas will provide an increasing share of America's energy over the next several decades doubling it's share from 20% to 40%, mostly at the expense of coal. link

July 2012: Will gas become too expensive? With prices that are way below production costs a fiasco is playing out in the natural gas industry that doesn’t happen often in a free market, and when it does happen, it’s usually short and brutal for all involved. Producers, if at all possible, are switching to drilling for oil and natural gas liquids (priced like oil), still a profitable activity. Thus, capital is now being channeled to where it can make money. Drilling for dry natural gas will continue to decline as the long delayed sweep of creative destruction is scouring the industry. The largest producer, ExxonMobil, given its monumental size and worldwide focus on oil, will weather the fallout just fine. But the second largest producer, Chesapeake Energy, is struggling. It’s trying to dump assets to raise cash to deal with its mountain of decomposing debt. Other producers that haven’t diversified away from dry natural gas are in a similar quandary.  link
 
March 2010: The natural gas shale boom in North America has more than doubled discovered gas resources and can supply more than a century of consumption at current rates, an IHS CERA study said. However the study said uncertainties about shale gas include stringency of future carbon legislation and viability of carbon capture and storage technology, and concerns about how hydraulic fracturing might affect underground water tables has prompted Congress to consider increased regulation. 
link

September 2009: Natural Gas generation growth by 2025.  According to EPA projections, without any new legislation, and if current policies remain in place, there would be nearly 30% more power generated by gas by 2025 than in 2015, while coal fired generation would grow by a more modest 7%. But legislators from coal-producing states appear committed to keeping coal as the nation’s primary producer of power as debate proceeds on a climate bill.  link
           
      
Different type of natural gas

According to the Energy Information Administration, energy from natural gas accounts for 24% of total energy consumed in the United States. Natural gas burns more cleanly than other fossil fuels. It has fewer emissions of sulfur, carbon, and nitrogen than coal or oil, and when it is burned it leaves almost no ash particles. Being a cleaner fuel is one reason that the use of natural gas, especially for electricity generation, has grown so much and is expected to grow even more in the future because of increasing world supply. For both power stations and transport of course, there are environmental concerns: as with any fossil fuel, burning natural gas produces carbon dioxide which is a significant greenhouse gas. For an equivalent amount of heat, burning natural gas produces about 30% less CO2 than burning petroleum and about 45% less than burning coal.  

The process of turning natural gas into a liquid removes most of the water vapor, butane, propane, and other gases that are typically found in regular natural gas, leaving predominantly methane. There are differences between Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG). more  
However, in absolute terms it does contribute substantially to global emissions, and this contribution is projected to grow. According to the Natural Gas Vehicle Coalition, there are currently 150,000 Natural Gas Vehicles (NGVs) on the road in the United States today, and more than 5 million NGVs worldwide. In fact, the transportation sector accounts for 3% of all natural gas used in the United States. link


Safety issues

January 2014: Earth tremors cause the Netherlands to cut gas production. The Netherlands will cut gas production at Groningen, the largest gas field in Western Europe, by about a quarter over the next three years bowing to public concerns over earth tremors in the area. "The studies showed that there are risks and consequences, including earthquakes," of the gas extraction in Groningen, Prime Minister Mark Rutte said at his weekly press conference. "They not only cause material damage but also serious emotional damage. The cabinet understands that people are worried." The first tremors were reported in 1986 nearby in Assen, and since then about 1,000 have been recorded in the area, with a maximum magnitude of 3.6 on the Richter scale. link

Curbing climate change by sealing gas leaks: Because of leaks at oil storage tanks, gas fields etc. some three trillion cubic feet of methane leak into the air every year, with Russia and the U.S.the leading sources according to the EPA's official estimate. (This amount has the warming power of emissions from over half the coal plants in the United States.) Unless monitoring is greatly expanded, they say, such emissions could soar as global production of natural gas increases over the next few decades. EnCana, the Canadian gas producer, using infra-red cameras detects leaks and says fixing them is relatively easy, saving energy and money. It is also a cheap, effective way of blunting climate change that could potentially be replicated thousands of times over, from Wyoming to Siberia,  energy experts say. link

Is it safe? Will it harm the environment?   read here

August 2012: Leakage control leads to less methane in the air. A team of atmospheric chemists report there’s a lot less methane leaking from oil and gas wells than there used to be. Methane is a major component of natural gas, and, said lead author Isobel Simpson, of the University of California-Irvine, in an interview, “as natural gas has become more valuable, it’s being captured rather than vented or flared.” However, an increase may occur due to the e3xpansion in fracking. link (See more under "Flaring at bottom of page.) No longer a waste gas - link

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission reports that in the past 40 years there have been more than 33,000 LNG ship voyages without a significant accident or cargo security. Although as in any industry there have been accidentsread

The global scene

As it becomes a major international commodity, for Russia it has become a geopolitical weapon by turning on and then off a pipeline to Ukraine and Western Europe. The great advantage of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is that it can be traded over huge distances and is no longer fixed by the length and geography of pipelines. Many environmentalists and energy analysts view natural gas as a natural bridge fuel between the dominant fossil fuels of today and the renewable fuels of tomorrow. This gas is now being piped and shipped around the world.  Six giant plants capable of cooling and liquefying gas for export are due to come on line in 2009. Countries such as Qatar, Russia, Indonesia and Yemen are investing $48 billion, and a seventh plant in Malaysia is being upgraded.  Even though there is a gas glut in the USA, gas industry executives expect that liquefied gas imports into the United States will at least triple in the second half of this year. Until the last few years, LNG was a high-priced necessity for countries that did not produce their own gas supplies or have access to piped reserves; but it now has become a cheap economic driver for countries like Japan with few energy resources.  link

August 2010: Major expansion in Australia by Shell. Royal Dutch Shell looks to invest $30- $50 billion by 2020. Because of improving technologies and increasing demand in Asia for cheaper-burning fuel, Shell plans more than 12 liquefied natural gas projects in Australia as it sees gas providing more than 50% of its production by 2012.   link
Update – May 2013 -Shell has already invested about $US40 billion in liquefied natural gas production plants, storage terminals and related systems, and it plans to continue pumping money into that business.  link   

November 2009: Gas reserves soar. "If Europe was to convert all coal-fired power stations to gas they would reduce emissions by 40%," claims Rune Bjornson who heads the gas division at Norwegian energy giant Statoil, pointing to how gas power stations emit about a third less than modern coal-fired power stations and about two-thirds less than old ones. link

Natural gas in the United States curently costs about $8 per thousand cubic feet (July 2012) down from a peak of about than $13 in 2008. On average, world spot prices for liquefied natural gas cargoes have come down by more than two-thirds since summer 2008. link  [As of December 2012, the price was $9.75 - link for updates.]
                   
Flaring

Flaring and venting of natural gas is a means of safely disposing of waste gases through the use of combustion. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) in 2007 oil producers torched from 150 to 170 billion cubic meters (5,200 to 6,000 billion cubic feet) of natural gas per year. This amounts to more than five percent of global natural-gas production. If the gas were sold in the United States it would have a market value of around $40 billion. According to Bent Svensson, head of the Global Gas Flaring Reduction Initiative at the World Bank, gas flaring also harms the climate. Their report says that flaring produces around 400 million tons of carbon dioxide per year - equivalent to 30% of the European Union’s gas consumption - and amounts to 13% of all greenhouse gases that industrial countries need to cut by 2012, according to the Kyoto Protocol. The World Bank's Global Gas Flaring Reduction Initiative is meant to ease the earth's atmosphere of 32 million tons of CO2 by the year 2012. link 

May 9 2013: Fracking flares coming to British countryside.The British countryside could be dotted with hundreds of naked flames several metres high after the head of Britain's biggest fracking company warned that any production of shale gas would involve “flaring off” leakages. Green campaigners argue that flaring is nonetheless environmentally hazardous, producing carbon dioxide, as well as noise and light pollution. Industry argues it is far better to flare leaked gas than to let it vent into the atmosphere. The British government banned fracking for just over a year, after the first hydraulic fracturing in the UK was quickly found to have caused two significant earth tremors in the Lancashire.  However, the moratorium was lifted recently after the government concluded it was safe to continue the practice, as long as it was under close supervision. link

October 2012: Gas flaring target of London conference. Flaring mostly happens in remote areas where gas at the surface as an oil by-product cannot be brought to consumers. The London conference aims to press oil firms to reduce gas flaring. The World Bank says $50bn in fuel goes up in polluting smoke yearly although there have been substantial improvements, with a 40% cut in flaring volume in Russia, and a 29% reduction in Nigeria. But it says flaring still wastes 140 billion cubic metres of gas a year - equivalent to a third of the annual gas consumption in the European Union. The practice emits around 400 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent. Environmentalists have called for all flaring to be banned. link  

November 2009: Russia takes steps to reduce gas flaring. Moscow last week ordered oil companies to use "up to 95%" of the gases associated with petroleum extraction in a move designed to bank on the "billions of roubles" of gas wasted every year, the Kremlin announced. President Dmitry Medvedev said, "This pollutes the environment and sends tens of billions of roubles up in smoke."  link

The World Bank Global Gas Flaring Reduction Partnership is a useful resource on goals to reduce gas flaring.    

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