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Electric Vehicles From 2010
onwards, increasing numbers of electric vehicles, including buses and
commercial vehicles, will be phased into transport plans around the world.
Development and improvement of battery technology is leading to a wide range of
options coming to the market in 2011: some are already here. While some
manufacturers explore fuel cell technology, the emphasis will be on electric/hybrid
for the coming decade as we transition away from petroleum as a source of
energy. However battery-powered
vehicles are forecast to make up less than 2.5% of the world's fleet in
2015. There are currently 880 million vehicles on the roads, with 98%
gas powered contributing 40% of the planet's greenhouse gases.
The problem. American vehicles
make up only 30% of the cars in use globally, they are responsible for
almost half of the GHGs emitted by vehicles. In the U.S. alone,
autos emit more than 333 million tons
of carbon dioxide (CO2) each year, while consuming about 44% of oil use. Of
roughly 250 million vehicles on US roads,
about 55% are classified as automobiles: 92% of US households own at least one car. In Britain, a report by the Royal Academy of Engineering lays
out the reality of turning some of Britain's 30 million cars electric in coming
decades. They conclude that the challenges are do-able but also pretty
daunting. link
_____________________________________________________________________ Recent news:
Jan 17 2012: Electric
vehicles could soon be cheaper than conventional cars. This
week, Department of Energy Secretary Steven Chu gave a speech at the Detroit
Auto Show about the progress being made
on bringing down the costs of batteries - the biggest cost for EVs.
He expects the cost for electric car batteries
to drop 70% by 2015, down from a whopping $12,000 in 2008 to $3500 by 2015 and
$1500 by 2020. link
Below - Battery charging advances
- Overview of the electric car market
- Batteries and the role lithium plays & other technology
- The role being played by Asia
- Commercial vehicles & buses
- Shai Agassi's "Better Place" development
- Selection of electric models
- Hydrogen fuel-cell development
| Battery charging advances |
March 2011: A 5-minute fill up at the gas station? Imagine being able to charge your
cell phone in a matter of seconds or your laptop in a few minutes. That might
soon be possible, thanks to a new kind of nanostructured battery electrode
developed by scientists at the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign. The
researchers found that their electrode can charge and discharge up to 100 times
faster than existing devices while holding the same amount of energy. High-storage
batteries that could charge and discharge quickly might make a number of
still-marginal technologies much more attractive. For example, if you could
recharge an electric car in minutes rather than hours, filling up your battery
at a charging station would take no longer than the amount of time it takes to
buy a tank of gas. link
March 2011: America's EV charging station makers race for market share. As electric vehicles
begin to roll out of dealers' showrooms and out onto America's roads, the race
is on among EV charging station manufacturers to attract business, public
sector and residential customers. At least five companies are busily installing
charging stations on public streets, in municipal parking lots, at government
and business offices, hotels, airports, shopping centers, restaurants and
libraries as well as in driveways and garages at home. link
August 2011: Yearlong study of electric
vehicles "perfect for urban driving". A year-long trial conducted by BMW discovered
that the driving behaviour of 138 participants did not really change when
swapping conventional engines for electric motors. BMW said that 96% of
participants would consider buying an electric car as a result of taking part
in the trial, and half would be happy to pay a third more to get one. . link (More on the electric Mini in 'selection' section below.) Study finds range anxiety for many drivers disappears
after just three months. link February 2011: 30-minute charging arrives. A San Diego, California-based company called 350Green LLC is installing 480-volt fast chargers that can
fully replenish a lithium-ion car battery in less than 30 minutes, while
240-volt Level 2 chargers can take 90 minutes to four hours. Home chargers
destined for garages have around 120 volts and can take up to eight hours for a
full charge.link
| Overview of the electric car market | The global market for plug-in vehicle charges will soar to $11.75 billion by
2015 to support the anticipated widespread distribution of electric vehicles in
the coming years according to research by ABI Research. Their report entitled Plug-In Vehicle Infrastructures, projects a surge
in the installation of charging station infrastructure, from just over 20,000
stations at present to approximately 3 million by 2015. In five years, the U.S. will represent 54% of the global market. link January 2011: J.D.Power market research company predicts the prospects for electric vehicles are low however. link
American
taxpayers have pumped more than two billion dollars into electric drive
vehicles. What are U.S. car companies doing? Jeff Young interviews
writer Jim Motavalli on the future for America's big 3 and Asian
companies in the coming years. read here
October 2011: Plan to boost electric cars in eastern USA. Only
about 1,000 of the 15,000 E.V.s on U.S. roads are in eastern states. A new
collaboration aims to boost that number with more charging infrastructure. Based on
population size some 200,000 electric vehicles, or 20% of President
Obama's call for one million plug-in cars, could hit the region by 2015. link July
2011: The National Clean Fleets Partnership,
announced by President Obama in
April, is a public-private partnership that helps large companies
reduce diesel
and gasoline use by bringing electric vehicles, alternative fuels, and
fuel-saving measures into their daily operations. Energy Secretary
Steven said, "This initiative will support the nation's largest
commercial fleets as they
move to adopt fuel-efficient vehicles that will reduce our dependence
on
foreign oil and improve our energy security." The Partnership furthers the Obama administration's
goal to cut U.S. oil imports by one-third by 2025. Fleet member General Electric has committed
to convert half of their global vehicle fleet, and will partner with fleet
customers to deploy a total of 25,000 electric vehicles by 2015. link Although the U.S. lags behind China and Japan in
battery technology, President Obama wants the US to be at the forefront of
electric vehicle production. President Obama has set a goal to have 1 million plug-in electric vehicles on U.S.
roads by 2015. This is promoted by a federal tax credit of $7,500 for the
purchase of plug-in electric vehicles. Obama’s vision is backed by $2 billion from the
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, with $1.5 billion earmarked for U.S.
battery manufacturing.
October 2010 : Portugal on track to be first nation with EV recharging network.
In the first half of 2011, it will be possible to drive anywhere in the
country without problems of recharging. Portugal plans to replace 10%
of all vehicles with electric cars by 2020. link
April 2011: Market to expand for 2-wheel electric vehicles. Market analyst Pike
Research says two-wheel electric vehicles could number 138 million by 2017. Based
on growing demand for and use trends in electric motorcycles and scooters,
electric vehicles could be one of the world’s most widely used vehicles years
from now. At present there are 17 million electric motorcycles and scooters on
the road globally, with an annual growth rate of 9%. link
Plug In America is an advocacy group for electric vehicles.
| Batteries and the role lithium plays / technology |
September 2010: The future? Battery
charging made simple. Pull up to a station, a mechanical arm
installs a new fully charged replacement in less than 5 minutes. In
Tokyo, a battery-changing station has been in operation for 90 days
using 17kw lithium-ion batteries and accounted for more than 15,000 km
(9,300 miles) of total mileage link
Lithium Batteries.
In order to mine the resource from the salt flat, technicians need to get a
brine to the surface, where it is evaporated in pools to expose the lithium. Half of the world's known lithium reserves lie in a remote salt flat in the
southern Andean plane of Bolivia which is not a country known to be friendly
to foreign businesses. Accounting for an estimated reserve of 5.4 million tons, the Salar De Uyuni
salt fields - predicted to become the Saudi Arabia of lithium - is being eyed by
the world’s largest auto companies. Compared with lithium reserves of 3 million tons in Chile, 1.1 million in China
and just 410,000 in the United States, the Bolivian reserve indicates the
leverage Bolivian President Evo Morales has.The Lithium Chase - worldwide sources being sought with battery potential uncertain. July 2011: The world has enough
lithium resources to power electric vehicles for the rest of the century,
according to a newly published report. link
| March 2011: The cost of
lithium-ion batteries, vital to clean energy storage and electric vehicle
applications, will drop by 30% within the next four years, according
to an industry expert, and will halve by 2020. link |
October 2010: Alternative technology to recharge batteries
without plugs.
The problems presented by the need to recharge electric vehicles could become a
thing of the past, thanks to a new wireless charging technology which promises
to recharge a car's battery while it is being driven. Using an approach
reminiscent of a giant Scalextric without the wires, two New Zealand firms have
developed a wireless charging system where cars simply position themselves above
a charging pad rather than using a conventional plug. Cars fitted with a
receiving pad can be charged via a magnetic field created using an advanced
version of the Inductive Power Transfer (IPT) technology commonly found in
electric toothbrushes. Electricity can be transferred over gaps as large as
400mm, meaning that recharging pads could feasibly be fitted beneath asphalt
roads. Poor parkers can position their vehicles 250mm either side of the pad,
which would then power up the car overnight without drivers having to
remember to plug it in. Pilot systems have been
successfully tested on buses in Italy and Holland. link
June 2010: Nanotubes expand lithium battery prospects.
A lithium-ion battery with a positive electrode made of carbon
nanotubes delivers 10 times more power than a conventional battery and
can store five times more energy than a conventional ultracapacitor.
The nanotube battery technology, developed by researchers at MIT and
licensed to an undisclosed battery company, could lead to batteries
that improve heavy-duty hybrid vehicles and allow faster recharging for
electronic gadgets, including smartphones. link French coachbuilder Heuliez, along with Michelin, has introduced a remarkable car - no engine. The WILL incorporates a motor, brakes and "a revolutionary electric
suspension system" inside the wheels. The WILL should
have three different lithium ion battery configurations offering 150,
300, or 400 km of range, (93, 186, or 249 miles). The first vehicles should be available for professional drivers,
fleets and municipalities in 2010. The general public may have to wait
an extra year. The current price target is being reported as between
€20,000 ($27,350) and €25,000 ($34,000). linkJuly 2010:General Electric introduces a new electric vehicle charger to accelerate adoption of plug-in electric vehicles. link
March 2010: A
group of Japanese vehicle manufacturers move towards standardizing how
electric vehicles are charged to speed up adoption of clean energy cars
around the world. link October 2009 : US utility companies pledge to aggressively pursue the
creation of infrastructure to support the full-scale commercialisation and
deployment of plug-in vehicles. link
| The role being played by Asia |
China is now the largest global auto market. A report by McKinsey & Co predicts the Chinese electric
vehicle market to be worth up to $220 billion by 2030. The government is adding
fuel to the fire by offering local governments and taxi fleets up to $8,800 in
subsidies for every electric or hybrid vehicle. Electric charging stations will
soon be constructed in Beijing, Shanghai, and Tiajin. Even if powered by electricity generated from coal,
electric cars will decrease carbon emissions by 19% and reduce urban air
pollution. First time car owners comprise a whopping 80% of the market. link Currently Japan is the market leader in hybrids today with cars like the Toyota Prius and Honda Insight which run on both electricity and
gasoline. Chinese
leaders have adopted a plan aimed at turning the country into one of
the leading producers of hybrid and all-electric vehicles within three
years, and making it the world leader in electric cars and buses after
that. China wants to raise its annual production capacity to 500,000
hybrid or all-electric cars and buses by the end of 2011 (from 2,100 in
2008). By comparison, CSM Worldwide, a consulting firm that does
forecasts for automakers, predicts that Japan and South Korea together
will be producing 1.1 million hybrid or all-electric light vehicles by
then and North America will be making 267,000. link | Commercial vehicles & buses |
Commercial vehicles. Not
all electric vehicles are small cars.The Modec (left) launched in 2007,
is quietly replacing diesel vans in Britain. Although the initial cost
is higher, the savings after less than three years are in the thousands, link [Update on Modec, March 2011. Company seeks restructuring.] Smith Electric Vehicles, a
British company, is the world's largest manufacturer of electric commercial vehicles and they've just made the world's largest electric road
vehicle. link Ford is working with Smith Electric Vehicles to market a pure battery electric-powered light commercial vehicle in North
America, based on the all-new Transit Connect global commercial vehicle
platform. Since 1920, Smith has converted tens of thousands of vehicles to battery
electric power. link
Electric buses.
August 2010: An LA transit system purchased three Proterra
EcoRide BE35 electric buses with an option for nine more. The vehicles
are designed to operate up to 3 hours with juicing up in 10 minutes at
inductive fast-charging stations en route. link [Compared to
traditional diesel buses, these electric buses will offer $300,000 savings in total lifetime fuel expenses per bus.] More about electric buses
| Shai Agassi's "Better Place" development |
January 2012: First 100 electric cars in
ground-breaking battery-swap scheme to be delivered to customers over next few
weeks. link March 2011: Battery swap centers commence in Denmark. link March 2011: In preparation for
its full launch in Israel this year, Better Place will be building 40 battery
switch stations to provide security for the electric car drivers of the country. link
Better Place, a firm started by Shai Agassi, a 41-year-old Israeli and
co-founder of Project Better Place, is seeking a fundamental
challenge to petrol-driven cars. Better
Place, which will run the scheme with Renault are planning to market
around 160,000 cars annually by 2011 in Denmark and Israel. The car
maker is developing three models: a sedan, a compact city car and a
panel van. In Denmark, a car will cost up to 200,000 kroner ($37,600)
to buy. "Around 160,000 electric cars will be made available every year. I believe
the [annual] sales will be in the tens of thousands," said Jens Moberg, the
chief executive of Better Place Denmark, the Danish subsidiary of the transport
company developing the lithium batteries fitted in the vehicles. February 2010: Better Place takes big leap forward with Israel electric-car pilot. Over 90 companies, covering 45,000 cars, agreed to lease a
fraction of their fleets from the firm Dor Alon Energy Company who agreed to set up battery switch
points at some of its 170 gas stations. If all goes as planned, 1,000
electric cars will hit the roads each month starting in 2011. In total, 100,000 cars will be running in
Israel and Denmark by 2016, according to figures by
Renault-Nissan. The price of the car, however, remains a big
mystery. Better Place will only reveal that it will be cheaper than its
gas-powered counterpart. In oil-bereft Israel, where gas costs around
$7 a gallon, the firm's business model could be a lure. Subscribers pay
for per-mile plans, just like cell phone minutes, or they can pay a
flat rate to drive as much as they want. link September 2010: GE deal with Shai Agassi furthers step toward EV's future. The
two companies said they had agreed to work together on a number of
fronts, including standards-based technology development, battery financing, joint fleet electrification programs and consumer awareness. link Better Place has signed deals for electric car
networks in San Francisco, Hawaii, Denmark and Australia, but the project in
Israel is seen as its pioneer system. link
An interview with Shai Agassi. | Selection of electric models |
February 2010: Coming out late 2010 Ford will introduce the Ford TransitConnect, an all-electric
fleet car. The TransitConnect
will drive 80 miles on a charge and hit a top speed of 75 mph. These cars will be sold to companies to be used as delivery
vehicles or vans, mostly in urban environments. In 2011, Ford will
follow up with an all-electric version of the Focus and a plug-in
hybrid passenger car in 2012 that will compete against the Chevy Volt.
link Chevrolet's Volt.
(August 2009) GM is putting a lot of its faith in the Volt with a claim of 230 mpg.
However the Volt is still trailing alternative choices in mpg and cost
and could prove to be no more than PR and hope for GM read (Under the same EPA guidelines for mileage ratings - not yet revealed by the EPA - the Nissan Leaf scores 367 mpg.)] New Nissan Leaf unveiled - August 2009 - Nissan announces the long-awaited zero-emission cars being developed with Renault. Designed as a four-to-five seat, front-drive C-segment hatchback, Nissan says
the Leaf is not just for use as a specialty urban runabout, but rather, it was
designed as an everyday vehicle – a "real car" whose 160-kilometer+ (100 mile)
range meets the needs of 70% of the world's motorists. In the case of U.S.
consumers, Nissan says that fully 80% of drivers travel less than 100km (62 miles) per day, making the Leaf a solid fit for America's motoring majority. link [Established in 1999, the Renault-Nissan Alliance aims
to be the global leader in zero-emission mobility. Nissan took out $1.6
billion in loans from the U.S. Department of Energy to revamp its
factory in Smyrna, Tenn., for Leaf production. The first models on sale
will be imported from Japan.] August 2010: Mitsubishi iMiev to challenge Leaf for sales in US - link
October 2009: Aimed at California, a $30,000 electric car able to run 250 miles.
Chinese car manufacturer, BYD, says their new E6 electric car due out
before the end of the year will do 250 miles on a single charge. The E6 is roomy with space
for five passengers and a good-sized boot. The battery tucks under the
back seat. It needs 7-8 hours with a domestic plug to charge the car
but BYD says a specially developed fast charging point with a lead the
diameter of a fire hose will fill up the car in just one hour with half a charge in only 10 minutes. link Electric Mini one-year trial period.
(August 2009) Two months into its pioneering field trials of
electric-powered automobiles, MINI USA is gathering valuable,
real-world data from 450 drivers of MINI E electric-powered
vehicles. These vehicles are now in daily use in metropolitan New
York, New Jersey and Los Angeles, where they are being driven by
private customers, municipalities, universities, public utilities,
non-profit and commercial organizations. The 100-mile range on a
single charge that is being reported in the trials is an accurate
reflection of the typical range of the MINI E on a full charge driven
in the variable conditions of the real world. One contributor
to a dedicated MINI E Facebook group has reported that he has achieved
141.2 miles on a single charge. link What's it like to live with an electric Mini? After 6 months driving an all-electric mini, a British businessman reports on what life is like with an all electric car. link
| Hydrogen fuel-cell development |
Fuel cell vehicles are basically electric vehicles that use hydrogen tanks
rather than batteries for energy storage. With current technology, fuel cell
cars tend to have greater range than pure electric cars. Hydrogen tanks are
lighter than big battery packs and take much less time to fill. However,
electric cars have the advantage of an existing charging infrastructure - a
hydrogen station infrastructure has yet to be built. Sept. 15 2009: Hydrogen-powered vehicles are slowly gaining traction, first with an announcement
last week that auto companies are spending billions on fuel cell vehicles, and
now with news that Germany is planning with to launch a countrywide hydrogen fueling network by
2015. A total of eight companies (Daimler, EnBW, Linde, OMV, Shell, Total,
Vattenfall and the NOW GmbH National Organisation Hydrogen and Fuel Cell
Technology) are working to bring the fueling network to fruition. link January 2011: Japanese carmakers in push for hydrogen
vehicles. Japan's top three automakers Toyota, Honda
and Nissan have united with Japanese energy firms in a push to commercialize
greener hydrogen fuel cell cars and build a network of fuelling stations. Along with 10 Japanese
energy groups including natural gas refiners and distributors, the companies
are aiming to build 100 filling stations by 2015 in Tokyo. link
July 2010: Honda switches from hydrogen.
Honda, which had previously favoured hydrogen fuel cells to batteries
as the future technology for cars, revises its plans to concentrate on
batteries claiming inadequate infrastructure development for hydrogen. link Mercedes-Benz to launch hydrogen fuel-cell cars: Mercedes-Benz says it will bring a fuel-cell hatchback to buyers in the
US and Europe by early 2010, far
ahead of the massive hydrogen infrastructure they acknowledge will be
required for wide adoption of such cars. Power storage comes by
way of a lithium-ion battery supporting a driving range of 250 miles
and a top speed of 106 mph. link
Hydrogen fuel-cells not a solution for USA: May 2009 - Fuel cells have been touted by politicians and people from the industry for many
years. However the Department of Energy's proposed budget boosts research on energy efficiency
and renewable energy sources but makes cuts in hydrogen fuel cell vehicles
because the technology is many years from being practical. Energy Secretary Chu said: "We asked ourselves, 'Is it likely in the next 10 or 15, 20 years that we
will convert to a hydrogen car economy?' The answer, we felt, was "no." link An in-depth comparison of the costs of fuel-cells versus electric - here Links to other alternative fuels: biodiesel hydrogen natural gas electricity propane ethanol supplied by the Department of Energy.
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