|
CHINA
__________________________________________________________
CHINA OVERVIEW The
United States
and China
are by far the
world’s two biggest emitters of greenhouse gases, jointly responsible
for more
than 40% of global carbon
dioxide emissions and about 35% of total GHGs. China has become second only to the US in its national power-generating capacity
- 792.5GW per year with an expected future 10% annual increase. While
China
has passed the USA
in total GHG
emissions, per capita they rank well below North America and Europe.
There are many negatives opening China
up to criticism,
including inefficiency: China
emitted four times as
much CO2 as the U.S.
and six times as much
as the E.U. or Japan
for every unit of
gross domestic product. But in recent years there is much evidence that
China views renewable energies as vital to its national security and
economic leadership, expanding its efforts into wind, solar and clean
coal ahead of other nations. Coal
and oil currently account for 69% and 20% of the country's primary energy
consumption respectively, with clean energy sources, including nuclear, wind
and solar power, accounting for only 7.6%.

A
security guard looks on as a slogan is projected onto
Yongdingmen Gate in Beijing.
Recent news: Jan 3 2012: Air pollution long-term challenge. China's city dwellers to breathe unhealthy
air 'for another 20-30 years' The cautionary note comes at the start of a year when
Beijing, Shanghai and several other Chinese metropolises will begin publicly
releasing data on tiny particulates known as PM2.5, which account for more than
half of the country's air-borne contaminants and have the most damaging impact
on human health. The promise of
more transparency has been welcomed as an important step towards a clear-up of
the foul smogs that plague urban China, but environment officials stress that
more time is needed to turn grey skies to blue. "It
took the US and Europe 50 years to deal with their problem. Even if we cut that
[PM2.5] in half, it will still take 20 to 30 years," said a haze expert.
link
Sept. 28 2011: China's pollution per capita rising faster than predicted. Due to its rapid economic development, per capita emissions
in China are quickly approaching levels common in the industrialised countries.
China already emits more carbon per person than France and Spain and on current
trends will surpass the United States in per person emissions as early as 2017.
The prediction comes in a report which shows that the country's carbon
footprint is expanding far faster than predicted. link
| How bad are China's GHG emissions?
China's population is 19.7% of the world total, but
2005 figures show that China's emissions per
capita were about 6 tons, compared to the United States
at 25 tons, and Russia at 15 tons. China’s
emissions per capita are also below the
world average of 7 tons.(Note:
India's is just 2 tons.) link |
China has cause to repond to western claims that it isn't doing enough. The energy
bill now before the
U.S. Congress proposes emissions targets that are far short of what China
and other nations say
they expect of the United States.
China
says the United States
should reduce its
greenhouse gas emissions by 40% below 1990 levels by 2020. The bill
before
Congress, which could be further weakened, now calls for less than a 4%
reduction
over that period.
Compounding the difficulty is the fact that both
countries are struggling economically and the Chinese and American
publics
appear far more interested in jobs than in tackling environmental
problems, a
task that would necessarily be costly.
The West
also owns some of China's emissions. 22.5% of China's emissions are generated during production of goods and services
consumed overseas, and 7.8% are embodied in exports to the US alone. link According to a
report by the Stockholm
Environment Institute (SEI) based at the University of York, England,
the UK responsibility for GHG emissions is underestimated by as much as
49%. link
Under Kyoto rules, the pollution produced by Chinese
factories making goods for the UK belongs to China. The protocol counts
only the production, not the consumption, of greenhouse gases. China
says this is unfair. Around half the recent increase in its emissions
arises from the manufacture of goods for western markets. This
pollution should, it says, belong
to the consumer nations, not the
producers and if the Copenhagen Conference did not recognise
this, it would punish China for the west's consumption.
link
In China coal provides 70% of total energy, with petroleum contributing 20%, gas 3%, and hydroelectric and
nuclear the remaining 7%. But coal is China's
dilemma. With approximately 13% of the world's proven reserves, China
has enough coal to sustain its economic growth for a century or more
even though demand is currently outpacing production. Also China's coal mining industry is deadly and has the world's worst safety
record
where an average of 13 people die every day in the coal pits (compared
to 30 per year in the USA). World demand for China's goods and China's
own rapid growth lead to a largely unregulated industry - more
China faces desertification: Global
climate change is coming home to roost in parts of Northern China. It
is one of the factors causing the desert to creep in where farmland
used to be. China's deserts are expanding by about 800 square
miles each year. link December 2009. Earth-friendly elements, mined destructively. Some
of the greenest technologies of the age, from electric cars to
efficient light bulbs to very large wind turbines, are made
possible by an unusual group of elements called rare earths. The
world’s dependence on these substances is rising fast. Just one problem: These elements come almost entirely from China, from some of
the most environmentally damaging mines in the country, in an industry dominated
by criminal gangs. link (China controls 97% of rare earth production.) (More on rare-earth metals) ___________________________________________________________________________ Nuclear power November 2009: Yangtze Delta has been warming faster than global average for a decade, and the impact
is already being felt, according to WWF China. The
delta is home to about 400 million people. The report found that
in the first five years of this decade, temperatures along China's
biggest river have increased by 0.71C, after a rise of a third of a
degree in the 1990s. By the estuary near Shanghai, the sea
level had risen by 11.5cm (4.5") in the past 30 years. link Nuclear power expansion in China stirs concerns December 2009: Today, China’s nuclear plants can produce about 9 gigawatts of capacity. The government will soon announce a further increase in its targets, to 70
gigawatts of capacity by 2020 and 400 gigawatts by 2050. But with electrical demand growing so rapidly nuclear stations will still generate
only 9.7% of the country’s power if the ambitious 2020 targets are met according to government projections. link January 2011: Nuclear breakthrough. Chinese
scientists have claimed a breakthrough in reprocessing fuel from nuclear power
plants so that a kilo of uranium could produce almost 60 times more power than
currently possible. State media reported yesterday that techniques developed at
the China National Nuclear Corporation, deep in the Gobi desert, would extend
the lifetime of the country's uranium deposits from 70 to 3,000 years. China's
nuclear capacity is expected to increase exponentially over the next decade and
reduce the pollution pumped out by its vast number of coal-fired power
stations. The new technology is likely to prove a key step in expanding China's
nuclear sector and could spark a construction boom for plants and reactors. Russia,
India, Japan and several European countries already reprocess nuclear fuel to
separate and recover unused uranium and plutonium, reduce waste and close the
nuclear cycle. China has so far failed to disclose whether its new technique
differs from those already employed. link January 2011 - China joins Britain, France and India in the ability to reprocess spent nuclear fuel.
China has been working on this technology for 24 years, and has
an ambitious program of building new nuclear power stations. link (July 22 2011: First new reactor hooks up to grid) March 2011: China suspends nuclear building plans. Following
the accident at Japan's Fukushima Daiichi plant, China has suspended approval
for new nuclear power stations as it grows
increasingly worried about the nuclear accident in Japan. China currently gets only about 2% of its electricity from
nuclear power from 13 reactors, but it has launched an ambitious project to
drastically increase those figures. China is currently building 27 new reactors,
about 40% of the total number being built around the world, and according to the World Nuclear Association, China wants
to build a total of 110 nuclear reactors over the next few years. link
Signs
of change - the good news August 2011: China tops 2011 index rankings for renewable energy. China overtook the US at
the end of 2010 to become the world leader in wind power, having installed
around 16 GW in 2010 or almost half of global installations, taking cumulative
installed capacity to 42 GW. This is contrasted with an additional 5 GW
installed in the US last year and a total of 40 GW. However, China ranks second globally in terms of
grid-connected capacity; more than a third of wind capacity had yet to be
connected to the national grid at the end of 2010. China's PV market also
experienced strong growth in 2010, installing around 1 GW and taking cumulative
capacity to 2.6 GW. link January 2010: China leading global race to make clean energy. China vaulted past competitors in Denmark, Germany, Spain and the United States
last year to become the world’s largest maker of wind turbines, and is poised to expand even further this year. China has also leapfrogged the West in the last two years to emerge as the
world’s largest manufacturer of solar panels. And the country is pushing equally
hard to build nuclear reactors and the most efficient types of coal power plants. link March 3 2010: A recent report by the Global Wind Energy Council found China to be the largest
market in wind generation after a 100% growth in 2009, taking its
installed capacity to 25.1GW. link
May 2011: Solar goal is 50GW by 2020. China has
more than doubled its target for solar power capacity to 50 gigawatts by 2020, as
the world's largest polluter steps up efforts to boost clean energy sources. The increased target follows a massive earthquake and
tsunami in Japan that triggered a nuclear crisis in the country's northeast and
fuelled worldwide debate about the safety of atomic power. China hopes its installed solar power capacity will
reach 10 gigawatts by 2015 and 50 gigawatts by the end of the decade China’s current installed capacity is less than one
gigawatt. link
March 2011: Next 5-year plan. The latest draft of China’s 12th 5-year economic development plan plots
targets for the environment and clean energy in the country’s efforts to
achieve their pledge to cut carbon intensity by 2020. The draft contained key
details on how China can proceed with its targets in non-fossil fuel energy
use, better energy consumption, lowering carbon emissions, increasing forest
coverage and reducing water consumption, especially in industry. In an attempt
to reduce China’s dependence on coal, which comprises about 70% of the
country’s total energy consumption, they plan to increase their use of
non-fossil fuel from 8.3% in 2010 to 11.4% in the next five years. In addition,
they intend to expand their use of wind, solar and biomass energy, with a plan
to install 235 gigawatts of power generation from
clean energy sources. Most of the “clean energy” category will be derived from
hydropower. For wind energy, the plan is to create 70 million kW worth of wind
power capacity with eight large wind farms. link May 2011: China's
production of green technologies has grown by a remarkable 77% a year,
according to a report commissioned by the World Wildlife and has made, on the
political level, a conscious decision to capture this market and to develop
this market aggressively. Denmark earns the biggest share of its national
revenue from producing windmills and other clean technologies while the United
States ranks 17 in the production of clean technologies. link May 2010: China to impose a carbon tax on industry from 2012 to curb carbon dioxide
emissions it was reported late
yesterday. The decision came after a recent survey conducted by
officials in the Ministry concluded that a tax was the most efficient method of
reducing carbon emissions from industry. Revenue from the tax would be used to fund energy-saving and environmentally
friendly industries. link China makes renewable power play to be world's first green superpower. June 2009: A
game-changing moment could be upon us. In recent years, the world has
grown used to condemning China as a climate criminal. But over the
next few weeks and months, don't be surprised if you hear the same
nation being hailed as the planet's first green superpower. The State
Council, China's cabinet, will soon release the details of a
staggeringly large "new energy" programme that could propel the world's
biggest greenhouse gas emitter past Europe and the US into a global
leader in renewable energy and low carbon technology. This is a
long-term investment aimed at making China a dominant force in
the global low-carbon economy for decades to come. Power plays do not
come much bigger. This is not being done because of international
obligations, but as an investment in national security. link Changes in
coal production: Between 1979 and 2007, the Chinese economy grew at an average
annual rate of 9.8%. China’s
frenetic construction of coal-fired power plants has raised
worries around the world about the effect on climate
change. China
now uses more coal than the United States, Europe and Japan
combined, making it the world’s largest emitter of gases that are
warming the planet. But largely missing in the
hand-wringing is this: China has emerged in the past two years as the
world’s leading builder of more efficient, less polluting coal power
plants, mastering the technology and driving down the cost. After relying until recently
on older technology, “China has since become the major world market for
advanced coal-fired power plants with high-specification emission
control systems,” the International Energy Agency said in a report on
April 20 2009. link
Wind energy in China. January 2011: According to a report a from a
wind turbine manufacturer, China has now installed more wind power capacity
than the United States. Wind installation surged there last year, far outpacing
the US, and now China has an estimated base of 40,000MW of wind power
installed. The US, which was the previous leader, ended the year with just shy
of that. Not to further exacerbate the already over-dramatized US vs. China
clean energy smackdown narrative, but China is totally laying the smack down on
the US in clean energy.link (Above: Wind farm in
Nan'ao Guangdong, China.)
April 2010: Wind power in China. China is already the world's largest market for wind power,
and China's first offshore wind farm, a 102-megawatt array that's set
to come to full power this month in the Yangtze River delta near
Shanghai, looks to be the start of something big. Chinese officials
announced plans for three to four large-scale offshore wind power
projects generating up to 1,000 megawatts total. Predictions are that
China will install 514 megawatts of offshore wind over the next three
to four years, and by 2020 will have invested $100 billion to install
up to 30,000 megawatts equal to all of the onshore wind farms currently
installed in China. However quality shortcomings are rife in the Chinese turbine industry. A 2009 report
on the Chinese market for clean energy technologies last year reported: "Real and perceived quality issues for Chinese
domestically manufactured turbines and components negatively impact wind farm
efficiency and constrain export market opportunities." link September 2009: China could meet its energy needs by wind alone, according to a new report. Moving to a low-carbon energy future would require China to make an
investment of around $900bn (at current prices) over the same 20-year period.
The scientists consider this a large but not unreasonable investment given the
present size of the Chinese economy. Moreover, whatever the energy source, the
country will need to build and support an expanded energy grid to accommodate
the anticipated growth in power demand. ‘Wind farms would only need to take up land areas of 0.5 million square
kilometers, or regions about three-quarters of the size of Texas. The physical
footprints of wind turbines would be even smaller, allowing the areas to remain
agricultural. link
Solar
Power expansion.
China
is to throw its economic might behind a national solar power plan that
could result in it becoming one of the world's biggest harvesters of
the sun's energy. The government body responsible for overseeing energy
policy has finalised a proposal for billions of pounds of incentives
for solar farms and rooftop panels, which will come from the
government's £400bn ($645bn) economic stimulus fund. By 2020 the total installed capacity for
solar power will be at least three times that of the original 3GW
target. China generates only 120 megawatts of its electricity from
solar power, so the goal represents a 75-fold expansion in just over a
decade. Once approved by the state
council, it is expected to give a boost to the domestic solar power
market, which has lagged behind China's wind, nuclear and hydroelectric
power investments. "This is extremely important. It's a milestone,"
said Chen Dongmei, director of climate change and energy at
the
WWF's China office. China is the world's leading manufacturer of
photovoltaic (PV) panels, which turn sunlight into electricity. But 95%
of these are exported. link
Wave power in China set to begin. April 20 2010: China proposes 10GW wave energy project along its
coastline. China may be fast establishing itself as the global leader in
wind and solar energy, but to date it has made little progress in the sphere of
marine energy. Now that looks set to change after an Israeli marine renewables
firm announced
that it will complete construction of a 1MW wave power plant in China
by the end of the month. The plant, which cost around $700,000 to
build, is in Guangzhou province, and is the first installation in a
proposed 10GW renewable energy project to install wave energy systems
along the coastline. link (April 2009) China vies to be world’s leader in electric cars
-
story
Sources
for above material from:
New York Times
Congressional
Research Service (pdf) The (U.K.) Guardian offers a regular compilation page of environmental items on China. Footnote. Of 28 million electric bikes sold annually, 27 million are bought by Chinese. see
|